Mathematics
Statistics 564
Theory of Probability
Fall 2020
Course Homepage
Theory
of Probability is
a core course for the Graduate Interdisciplinary Program in Statistics and Data
Science.
Overview.
In the
Theory of Probability, we shall be using our previous knowledge of calculus and
linear algebra to
consider the central issues in the "science of uncertainty". The
mathematical development of these ideas will be useful in a variety of human
endeavors and serve as essential background for productive work in statistics – probability's
sister discipline.
Day to Day Operations.
The class
meets online Tuesdays and Thursdays from 2:00 PM to 3:15 PM over zoom. The
lectures will also be recorded with a link on the course
syllabus page. The zoom meeting ID is 897 361 7174.
Our text
is Statistical Inference (Second Edition) by George Casella and Roger L.
Berger. We will cover most of the material in the first 5 chapters of the
textbook plus some supplementary material. A summary of the class notes will be
available to the students. The schedule of topics, the class notes and the
assignments are given in the course syllabus.
The
class has a teaching assistant Zhaoying Lu. All
office hours will be conducted online. In addition, we will be using Microsoft
Teams a unified communication and collaboration platform.
instructor |
email |
office hours |
location |
Joe Watkins |
jwatkins at math.arizona.edu |
Tuesdays
11:00 to 12:30 Thursdays
3:15 to 4:45 |
online online |
Zhaoying Lu |
zhaoyinglu at email.arizona.edu |
Mondays
4:30 to 6:00 Fridays
12:00 to 1:30 |
online online |
Use of Software.
We will be
doing some software computation using R.
R is a free software environment for
statistical computing and graphics. It compiles and runs on a wide variety of UNIX
platforms, Windows and MacOS. To download R, please choose your preferred CRAN
mirror. Other options for software assistance can be found on the resource webpage.
Evaluation of Students.
We shall have 2 take
home midterm exams.
Homework is an essential
part of any mathematics or statistics course. Homework will be collected
weekly. The homework grade will be based on the top 12 homework scores. For the
assignment, complete the assigned problems plus at least one of the challenging
problems. The homework assignments are typically due Friday afternoons.
Permission to turn in
late homework for credit must be arranged in advance. The grading scheme
is
|
number |
points |
total |
problem sets |
12 |
25 |
300 |
midterm exams |
2 |
100 |
200 |
total |
|
|
500 |
Grades will be given
on the usual scale A is 90%-100%, B is 80%-89%, C is 70%-79%, D is 60%-69%, and
E is below 60%. If you fail to complete the course due to circumstances
unforeseen, then you may qualify for a grade of I, "incomplete'" if
all of the conditions are met:
Students should take the
time to become familiar with policies and codes of the University, notably the academic
integrity policy and student
code of conduct. Student with special needs should contact SALT - Strategic Alternative Learning
Techniques Center or the Disability
Resources Center.
Equipment and Software
Requirements
Class Attendance
·
If you feel sick, or may have been in contact with someone who is
infectious, stay home. Except for seeking medical care, avoid contact with
others and do not travel.
·
Notify your
instructors if you will be missing an in person or online course.
·
Campus Health is testing for
COVID-19. Please call (520) 621-9202
before you visit in person.
·
Visit the UArizona COVID-19 page for regular updates.
Life Challenges
If you are
experiencing unexpected barriers to your success in your courses, please note
the Dean of Students Office is a central support resource for all students and
may be helpful. The Dean of
Students Office can be reached at 520-621-2057 or DOS-deanofstudents@email.arizona.edu.
Physical and Mental
Health Challenges
If you are facing
physical or mental health challenges this semester, please note that Campus
Health provides quality medical and mental health care. For medical
appointments, call (520-621-9202. For After Hours care, call (520) 570-7898.
For the Counseling & Psych Services (CAPS) 24/7 hotline, call (520)
621-3334.
Best wishes to you for
a good semester in this course and in all your other activities.
- Joe Watkins